Nonlinear models of the Phillips curve

نویسندگان

چکیده

Abstract The recent flattening of the Phillips curve has stimulated new empirical research and theoretical discussions regarding nonlinear nature changes in parameters. objective present paper is twofold: to detect relevant type implied nonlinearity look for some general model capable generating a mimicking one. We find evidence convex US price curve, from 1961 q1 2019 q4, assessed both by piecewise threshold models. result presents degree novelty role supply shocks model-specific convexities; addition, it supports use regime-switching macro system. latter accomplishes three tasks. It can generate resembling its counterparts; creates medium-run endogenous cycle where unemployment not NAIRU; finally, opens perspectives on economic policy issues.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Evolutionary Economics

سال: 2021

ISSN: ['1432-1386', '0936-9937']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00191-021-00736-5